REPEAT-SALE INDICES EDGED HIGHER IN OCTOBER 2024
CCRSI RELEASE – November 2024
(With data through October 2024)
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Complete CCRSI data set accompanying this release
This month's CoStar Commercial Repeat Sale Indices (CCRSI) provides the market's first look at commercial real estate pricing trends through October 2024. Based on 1,306 repeat sale pairs in October 2024 and more than 314,227 repeat sales since 1996, the CCRSI offers the broadest measure of commercial real estate repeat sales activity.
CCRSI National Results Highlights
- U.S. COMPOSITE PRICE INDICES ROSE IN OCTOBER 2024. The value-weighted U.S. Composite Index, which is more heavily influenced by high-value trades common in core markets, rose for the third consecutive month to 245, an increase of 1.1% over the prior month. However, the index was down 6.8% in the 12 months ending in October 2024.
- Meanwhile, the equal-weighted U.S. composite index, which reflects the more numerous but lower-priced property sales typical of secondary and tertiary markets, climbed 1.3% to 314 in October 2024. The index grew by 0.7% in the 12 months ending in October 2024.
- The recent increase in pricing may reflect lower policy rates witnessed in the third quarter of 2024 as market participants anticipated the beginning of the Federal Reserve’s easing cycle.
- TRANSACTION VOLUME OUTPACED THE SAME MONTH IN 2023. Despite the drop in the number of deals trading compared to October 2023, the total repeat-sale transaction volume of $10.2 billion in October 2024 outpaced the prior year by 7.2%. October 2024’s sales volume also marks the second strongest month of the year as momentum continues to build. September 2024 marks the strongest month of 2024 so far, but it’s not historically uncommon to see slight dips in October compared to September likely due to selling season patterns.
- Composite pair volume of $105 billion during the 12 months ending in October 2024 was 1.6% lower than the 12-month period that ended in October 2023. The investment grade segment fell 0.7% over the 12 months that ended in October 2024 compared to the same period ending in October 2023. The investment grade segment accounted for 63.3% of the overall annual transaction volume during the 12 months ending in October 2024. The general commercial segment, which accounted for 36.7% of the 12-month transaction volume, declined 2.8% over the 12 months ending in October 2024.
- LIQUIDITY MEASURES POINT TO INCREASED DEMAND FOR HIGHER-QUALITY ASSETS. The average number of days on the market of for-sale properties fell to 173.6 days in October 2024, a decline of 0.3% over the prior month and a 6.5% drop compared to October 2023. Meanwhile, the sale-price-to-asking-price ratio ticked higher by 0.1 percentage points to 92.9% in October 2024, on par with thresholds seen in the first quarter of 2024.
- The share of properties withdrawn from the market by discouraged sellers dropped by 0.2 percentage points to 26.3% in October 2024. This indicator has been primarily flat throughout 2024 after increasing from its trough of 21.3% in the second quarter of 2022. The current threshold is back to levels reminiscent of late 2018.
About The CoStar Commercial Repeat-Sale Indices
The CoStar Commercial Repeat-Sale Indices (CCRSI) are the most comprehensive and accurate measures of commercial real estate prices in the United States. In addition to the national Composite Index (presented in both equal-weighted and value-weighted versions), national Investment-Grade Index, and national General Commercial Index, which are reported monthly, 30 sub-indices in the CoStar index family are reported quarterly. The sub-indices include breakdowns by property sector (office, industrial, retail, multifamily, hospitality, and land), by region of the country (Northeast, South, Midwest, and West), by transaction size and quality (general commercial, investment-grade), and by market size (composite index of the prime market areas in the country). The CoStar indices are constructed using a repeat sales methodology, widely considered the most accurate measure of price changes for real estate. This methodology measures the movement in the prices of commercial properties by collecting data on actual transaction prices. When a property is sold more than once, a sales pair is created. The prices from the first and second sales are then used to calculate price movement for the property. The aggregated price changes from all the sales pairs are used to create a price index. Historical price indices are revised as new data is recorded.
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Matthew Blocher, Vice President, CoStar Group Corporate Marketing & Communications (mblocher@costar.com).
For more information about the CCRSI Indices, including the full accompanying data set and research methodology, legal notices, and disclaimer, please visit https://costargroup.com/costar-news/ccrsi/.
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